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Thread: Best Tote.

  1. #1
    Join Date
    Jun 2014
    Posts
    3

    Default Best Tote.

    Just curious to know if the results we generate would be boosted if we are getting the best of 3 totes for our bets.

    For example, the % P.O.T. Win might be slightly better than 5.7 %

    Meetings considered : 1827
    Win Strike Rate/Seln. : 37.0% Plc Strike Rate/Seln. : 53.3%
    Average Win Dividend : $ 2.86 Average Plc Dividend : $ 1.70

    WIN PLACE QUINELLA EXACTA TRIFECTA FIRST FOUR
    Races Bet: 228 217 228 228 228 228
    Races Won: 111 146 153 110 107 94
    S.R./Race: 48.7% 67.3% 67.1% 48.2% 46.9% 41.2%
    Outlay($): 300.00 287.00 1349.00 1429.00 5466.00 15678.00
    Return : 317.10 272.00 1299.70 1589.30 5942.10 18724.80
    $ Profit : 17.10 -15.00 -49.30 160.30 476.10 3046.80
    % P.O.T. : 5.7% -5.2% -3.7% 11.2% 8.7% 19.4%

    Test Duration = 00:05:38 Note: 18 selections found without results

    Thanx, "Returned Newbie"

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Jun 2005
    Location
    Blue Mountains.
    Posts
    979

    Default

    I did a quick test on last season SP 1. Below are the differences between QLD and Best tote. I would imagine that the difference between a single tote to the Best tote will be higher at the longshot end of the market, but I didn't run a test on that so cant comment. A figure used to be thrown around that stated that the diff between tote and best tote was around 10%. Long time ago, and with the help of the longer prices. If you move in the shorter end the differences aren't as pronounced.


    Code:
    Bet Analysis :   Back - Flat Constant,  Starting Bank $100,  Bet/Take-Out Size 1%
    Date Range   :   01/08/2015 to 31/07/2016   Period of Days - 366
    Price Option :   QLD  for win  Limit $0
    
    WIN STATISTICS   Value    Bets   Wins   SR      Collect         Avg       POT       Profit          Max Outs/Draw
    
                     Races    6419   2196   34.2%   $5,909.40       $2.70     -7.94%    -$509.60        20/6345
                     Horses   6419   2196   34.2%   $5,909.40       $2.70     -7.94%    -$509.60        $521 


    Code:
    Bet Analysis :   Back - Flat Constant,  Starting Bank $100,  Bet/Take-Out Size 1%
    Date Range   :   01/08/2015 to 31/07/2016   Period of Days - 366
    Price Option :   Best Tote  for win  Limit $0
    
    WIN STATISTICS   Value    Bets   Wins   SR      Collect         Avg       POT       Profit          Max Outs/Draw
    
                     Races    6419   2196   34.2%   $6,240.55       $2.85     -2.78%    -$178.45        20/6345
                     Horses   6419   2196   34.2%   $6,240.55       $2.85     -2.78%    -$178.45        $197  
    Form Elements Utilities - add on tool for Bet Selector
    www.ratings2win.com.au - Axis racing software and Database.

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Jun 2014
    Posts
    3

    Default

    Thank you for that rather comprehensive response Michal.

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