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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Jun 2014
    Posts
    8

    Default "Mike2" Shorts System Expert Mode

    I am trying to learn Expert Mode and when I do Mike2's system that I found ages ago, I get no selections or results. Are you still there Mike ?
    Here is the code,

    1.LOCATION$"SMBAWXsmbaw"
    WITHIN(TB2W,1.5,2.2)
    .NOT."Class 2"$R:RCLASS
    .NOT."BM64"$F:FCLASS
    HIST=>-350
    HAYS>=7
    WBTW<=4.5
    BPA<=11
    H:AGE<=7
    RIST<=220
    MPDIV<=7
    NUMLSW<=2

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Jun 2014
    Posts
    8

    Default

    Sorry, my bad,

    Rules as follows
    1.Location$"SMBAWXsmbaw"
    Within(TB2W,1.5,2.2)
    .NOT."Class 2"$R:RCLASS
    .NOT."BM64"$F:FCLASS
    H:DDIST=>-350
    H:DAYS>=7
    WBTW<=4.5
    BPA<=11
    H:AGE<=7
    R:DIST<=2200
    NUMLSW<=2

    Now I get too many selections.

    Previously results screenshot showed 11 wins 15 selections between 10/12/2015 and 06/01/2016.

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Jul 2015
    Location
    Adelaide
    Posts
    40

    Default

    Samiam40au

    By coincidence, I was playing around with this one yesterday.
    I've rewritten some of the rules and they seem to work OK.
    Tested over last month

    Code:
    1.Location$"SMBAWXsmbaw"
    2..NOT."Class 2"$R:RCLASS
    .NOT."BM64"$F:FCLASS
    Within(H:DDIST,-350,2000)
    H:DAYS>=7
    WBTW<=4.5
    BPA<=11
    H:AGE<=7
    R:DIST<=2200
    NUMLSW<=2
    Within(TB2W,1.5,2.2) 
     
    SYSTEM RESULTS FOR: AB TESTING_FORUM002 01/05/2018-31/05/2018
                     WIN      PLACE    QUINELLA    EXACTA    TRIFECTA   FIRST FOUR
    Races Bet:     236       233        236        236         236          233
    Races Won:     117       180        142         98          79           60
    S.R./Race:      49.6%     77.3%      60.2%      41.5%       33.5%        25.8%
    Outlay($):     238.00    235.00    1181.00    1183.00     4742.00     14316.00
    Return   :     216.50    216.90    1078.30    1165.50     5939.90     12191.80
    $ Profit :     -21.50    -18.10    -102.70     -17.50     1197.90     -2124.20
    % P.O.T. :      -9.0%     -7.7%      -8.7%      -1.5%       25.3%       -14.8%
    Not sure why you'd use TB2W in testing, or why the specific classes are excluded.
    But then I didn't write the original !

    Just by way of comparison, changing the last rule to TB1W produces the following :

    Code:
     
     
    SYSTEM RESULTS FOR: AB TESTING_FORUM002 01/05/2018-31/05/2018
                     WIN      PLACE    QUINELLA    EXACTA    TRIFECTA   FIRST FOUR
    Races Bet:     234       232        234        234         234          232
    Races Won:     122       176        139        102          83           59
    S.R./Race:      52.1%     75.9%      59.4%      43.6%       35.5%        25.4%
    Outlay($):     238.00    236.00    1175.00    1179.00     4692.00     13980.00
    Return   :     232.50    213.90    1107.80    1397.60     8124.30     27392.00
    $ Profit :      -5.50    -22.10     -67.20     218.60     3432.30     13412.00
    % P.O.T. :      -2.3%     -9.4%      -5.7%      18.5%       73.2%        95.9%

    Cheers
    Brian
    Last edited by Kintala; 11-06-18 at 07:57 AM.

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Jul 2015
    Location
    Adelaide
    Posts
    40

    Default

    Here's a better way to write the same rules, for the same result.
    Speeds up testing and makes it easier to manipulate the rules.

    Code:
    1.LOCATION$"SMBAWXsmbaw"
    2.NUMLSW<=2
    2.R:DIST<=2200
    2..NOT."Class 2"$R:RCLASS
    .NOT."BM64"$F:FCLASS
    Within(H:DDIST,-350,2000)
    Within(H:DAYS,7,999)
    Within(BPA,1,11)
    Within(WBTW,0,4.5)
    Within(H:AGE,2,7)
    Within(TB1W,1.5,2.2) 
     
    SYSTEM RESULTS FOR: AB TESTING_FORUM002 01/05/2018-31/05/2018
                     WIN      PLACE    QUINELLA    EXACTA    TRIFECTA   FIRST FOUR
    Races Bet:     234       232        234        234         234          232
    Races Won:     122       176        139        102          83           59
    S.R./Race:      52.1%     75.9%      59.4%      43.6%       35.5%        25.4%
    Outlay($):     238.00    236.00    1175.00    1179.00     4692.00     13980.00
    Return   :     232.50    213.90    1107.80    1397.60     8124.30     27392.00
    $ Profit :      -5.50    -22.10     -67.20     218.60     3432.30     13412.00
    % P.O.T. :      -2.3%     -9.4%      -5.7%      18.5%       73.2%        95.9%
    Cheers
    Brian

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Jun 2014
    Posts
    8

    Default

    Hey Brian, thanks for your help. I'm finding Bet Selector is easier to learn by example(s) and pulling systems apart and tweaking. You've given me plenty of homework. Thanks again, Sam.

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Feb 2004
    Location
    New Norfolk, Tas, Australia.
    Posts
    522

    Default

    samiam40au & Brian &Co

    I cannot find my original system but I do know that I rarely use TB2W these days because of the price variability depending on when you last download from Race Day Live.

    TB1W as Brian uses is often just as good a guide.

    As a matter of interest I ran it again over the original dates with both TB1W and with TB2W and the former was slightly better.

    Cheers

    Mike.

    Code:
    1.LOCATION$"SMBAWXsmbaw"
    2.NUMLSW<=2
    2.R:DIST<=2200
    2..NOT."Class 2"$R:RCLASS
    .NOT."BM64"$F:FCLASS
    Within(H:DDIST,-350,2000)
    Within(H:DAYS,7,999)
    Within(BPA,1,11)
    Within(WBTW,0,4.5)
    Within(H:AGE,2,7)
    Within(TB1W,1.5,2.2)  
     
    SYSTEM RESULTS FOR: MY SYSTEMS_MIKES2 10/12/2015-06/01/2016
                     WIN      PLACE    QUINELLA    EXACTA    TRIFECTA   FIRST FOUR
    Races Bet:     155       152        155        155         155          141
    Races Won:     101       131         99         84          63           41
    S.R./Race:      65.2%     86.2%      63.9%      54.2%       40.6%        29.1%
    Outlay($):     157.00    153.00     777.00     779.00     3116.00      8544.00
    Return   :     191.90    161.00     763.90     980.90     3828.80      8769.20
    $ Profit :      34.90      8.00     -13.10     201.90      712.80       225.20
    % P.O.T. :      22.2%      5.2%      -1.7%      25.9%       22.9%         2.6%

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